'Unsurvivable' storm surge warning as Hurricane Helene heads for US

By John Mercury September 26, 2024

People in parts of Florida could face an “unsurvivable” storm surge when Hurricane Helene makes landfall on Thursday.

High winds, possibly in excess of 130mph (209kph), rains and flash floods are possible across areas of the southeastern US, the US National Weather Service in Tallahassee has said.

Helene is expected to be a major hurricane – a Category 3 or higher – when it hits Florida’s northwestern coast on Thursday evening.

People load a truck with furniture as Hurricane Helene intensifies before its expected landfall on Florida’s Big Bend, in Cedar Key, Florida, U.S. September 25, 2024. REUTERS/Marco Bello
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People load a truck with furniture in Cedar Key, Florida. Pic: Reuters


Visitors to the Southernmost Point marker in Key West, Fla., are hit by wind driven waves from approaching Hurricane Helene on Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (Rob O'Neal/The Key West Citizen via AP)
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Visitors hit by wind driven waves in Key West, Florida. Pic: Rob O’Neal/The Key West Citizen/AP

At lunchtime, UK time, on Thursday, the US National Hurricane Centre placed Helene around 365 miles (585km) south of Apalachicola, on the Big Bend coastline, where Florida’s panhandle and peninsula meet.

It was crossing the Gulf of Mexico as a Category 2 hurricane travelling at sustained wind speeds of up to 100mph (155kph), and is expected to grow stronger before it hits land, the centre said.

States of emergency have been declared in Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas, with hurricane and flash flood warnings in place as far away as south-central Georgia.

Several Florida counties are under mandatory evacuation orders, and millions of people are under flood watches.

Storm surges, the wall of seawater pushed on land by hurricane-force winds, could be as high as 20 feet (6m), the weather service said and could be “catastrophic and unsurvivable” in Florida’s Apalachee Bay, south of Tallahassee.

A view shows the damage caused by Tropical Storm Helene in Puerto Juarez, Cancun, Mexico September 25, 2024. REUTERS/Paola Chiomante TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY
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Damage caused by Tropical Storm Helene in Puerto Juarez, Cancun, Mexico. Pic: Reuters/Paola Chiomante

Men board up a restaurant window as Hurricane Helene intensifies before its expected landfall on Florida’s Big Bend, in Cedar Key, Florida, U.S. September 25, 2024. REUTERS/Marco Bello
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Men board up a restaurant window in Cedar Key, Florida. Pic: Reuters


There is also a risk of high winds and heavy rains, the office said, calling the forecast “a nightmare surge scenario” for the bay and urging residents to “please, please, please take any evacuation orders seriously!”

Tallahassee residents have been leaving their homes, many having stocked up on sandbags, food and supplies, NBC, Sky’s US partner, said.

The city’s mayor John Dailey urged people to take the warnings “extremely seriously”, calling Helene “the biggest storm in the history of the city to hit us head-on”.

‘A lot of damage’ expected

Speaking to NBC on Wednesday, Mr Dailey said that though they are “very prepared”, he was also “very nervous, and I hope everyone is nervous”. He added: “This is a big storm. It is going to cause a lot of damage.”

Jared Miller, sheriff of Wakulla County, where Helene is forecast to make landfall, went further, calling the oncoming storm “not a survivable event for those in coastal or low-lying areas.”

The county has issued a mandatory evacuation order, but one resident, Christine Nazworth, from Crawfordville, about 25 miles (40km) from Apalachee Bay, said her family would be sheltering in place.

People traverse a flooded street with a horse-drawn carriage after the passage of Hurricane Helene in Guanimar, Artemisa province, Cuba, Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa)
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People cross a flooded street in Guanimar in Cuba. Pic: AP/Ramon Espinosa

‘I’m scared. It’s not safe’

She said: “I’m prayed up. Lord have mercy on us. And everybody else that might be in its path.”

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Leslie Powell, from Quincy, a city a similar distance from Tallahassee, told NBC she was leaving her mobile home to go to a shelter with her 8-month-old baby and six-year-old daughter.

She said simply: “I’m scared. I’ve got a lot of trees around my home, so it’s not safe for me and my kids.”

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